Guide · Metrics
What is the Sharpe Ratio and how to interpret it
The formula: return divided by volatility
Sharpe = (Rp − Rf) / σp
Rp = portfolio return · Rf = risk-free rate (short-term Treasury bills) · σp = annualised standard deviation
If a strategy returns 20% annualised with 10% standard deviation and the risk-free rate is 3%, the Sharpe is (20% − 3%) / 10% ≈ 1.70. The higher the Sharpe, the more return per unit of risk. The figures are an example, not a LearnAImarkets result.
What values are good, mediocre or excellent
The S&P 500 historically has a Sharpe of 0.5–0.8. A reference hedge fund typically targets 1.0–1.5. Very high figures (>3) over short periods deserve scepticism.
Poor
< 1Returns do not compensate for the risk taken. Many active funds fall in this range.Good
1 – 2Benchmark for competent active strategies. The long-term S&P 500 Sharpe is around 0.5–0.8.Excellent
> 2Hard to sustain long-term. Often signals genuine statistical edge or measurement-period bias.
How the LearnAImarkets model uses it
- The Sharpe is calculated on OOS (out-of-sample) data: the model never used it for training.
- It includes NEUTRAL and high-cash periods — not just the best BULL moments.
- The comparative benchmark is the equal-weighted S&P 500 without guardrails (Sharpe ~0.6).
Current model figures (out of sample)
Updated:
Current model metrics
You can see the updated historical Sharpe in the Performance section.
The limitations nobody usually explains
Assumes normal distribution
The Sharpe penalises all volatility equally, including positive (strong up-moves). It does not detect fat tails or extreme events.Sensitive to measurement period
A Sharpe calculated over a bull market can look spectacular without the system having proved anything. Long and representative periods are required.Does not distinguish up from down volatility
The Sortino Ratio corrects this by penalising only downside volatility. For asymmetric strategies, Sortino is a better complement to Sharpe.
Frequently asked questions
Is a higher Sharpe always better?
Generally yes, but with caveats. A very high Sharpe over a short period may reflect luck or a favourable market regime. What matters is the stability of the Sharpe across different regimes: bull, bear and transition.
What Sharpe does the S&P 500 have?
The S&P 500 historically has a Sharpe of 0.5 to 0.8 depending on the measurement period. In the last decade, with low rates and a strong market, it may have reached 1.0–1.2. It is the standard passive benchmark.
Is the model's Sharpe good compared to the market?
On the OOS walk-forward backtest the model typically publishes a Sharpe clearly above the S&P 500 (~0.6) over the same period. The exact figure updates with each training cycle and can be consulted in the Backtest section. It indicates more return per unit of risk than passive exposure, though past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is the difference between Sharpe and Sortino?
Sortino only penalises downside volatility (negative returns), not upside. It better reflects strategies with strong gains and few drawdowns. For systems with low drawdowns, Sortino is typically higher than Sharpe.
Can I compare the Sharpe of two different strategies?
Yes, but make sure they are calculated over the same period and with the same risk-free rate reference. A Sharpe calculated over 3 years is not directly comparable to one calculated over 10.
View the model's full backtest
External references
LearnAIMarkets is an educational platform. The information provided does not constitute financial, investment, legal or tax advice. Backtest metrics are historical and do not guarantee future returns. Investing carries risk of capital loss. Consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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